Storm Chance Today, Then Boca Braces for Windy 40s Tonight and Chilly Monday

by Weather Desk | Feb 22, 2026 · 7:49 am | Boca Raton Weather

Boca Raton weather outlook for Sunday, Feb. 22, 2026, showing afternoon storm chances ahead of a cold front, followed by a sharp temperature drop, Fire Weather Watch Monday, high rip current risk, and hazardous marine conditions through Tuesday.

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Today’s Weather – Sunday, Feb. 22, 2026

BOCA RATON, FL (Boca Post) (Copyright © 2026) — Boca Raton gets a little bit of everything today, including a late-day rain and storm window, then a fast slide into windy, much colder air tonight.

This morning starts out on the quieter side, but the National Weather Service says areas of dense fog develop across interior sections and Southwest Florida early, with some fog potentially spreading closer to east coast metro areas before lifting shortly after sunrise. If you are headed west toward the Glades or moving along the I 95 corridor around daybreak, plan for pockets of reduced visibility that can show up quickly, especially away from the beach.

By this afternoon, the story turns to a cold front moving through South Florida. For Boca, the local forecast calls for increasing clouds and a high near 85. Showers are most favored in a narrow window late in the day. The forecast calls for a chance of showers between 3 p.m. and 4 p.m., then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4 p.m. The overall chance of precipitation is 50%, with rainfall amounts between a tenth and a quarter of an inch, though higher amounts are possible in thunderstorms.

Winds will be noticeable even before the front clears. Expect a west wind 6 to 15 mph with gusts up to 23 mph during the day. If storms pop up near Glades Road, Lyons Road, or the western suburbs, conditions can change fast for a short period with brief heavy rain and stronger gusts.

Tonight is the big shift.

The forecast calls for a chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7 p.m., then a slight chance of showers between 7 p.m. and 8 p.m. After that, skies trend toward clearing. Temperatures drop hard behind the front, with a low around 46 in Boca.

It also turns windy. Tonight calls for a northwest wind 17 to 22 mph with gusts up to 29 mph. That wind will be felt along the Intracoastal, on bridges, and in open areas near the beach. It will also make it feel colder than the thermometer suggests, especially late tonight into early Monday.

Monday stays dry but chilly. The forecast calls for sunny skies and a high near 61, with wind chill values as low as 38 early, and northwest winds 15 to 21 mph with gusts up to 29 mph. It is the kind of day where the sun is out, but the wind keeps it from feeling warm, especially along the coast.

Beach and marine conditions deteriorate as the front passes. The forecast discussion notes a high risk of rip currents developing across South Florida beaches tonight into Monday as winds increase and seas build. For boaters off Boca and up toward the Boca and Delray area coast, hazardous conditions ramp up quickly, with advisories posted for small craft and a forecast calling for rapidly building seas and strong northwest winds.

Current Advisories / Watches / Warnings

The National Weather Service products and advisories posted for this forecast package include:

  • Fire Weather Watch remains in effect from Monday morning through Monday evening for all of South Florida, with northwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph, relative humidity as low as 23 percent, and temperatures up to 65.
  • Rip Current Statement for Coastal Palm Beach County:
    • High Rip Current Risk remains in effect until 7 p.m. Saturday evening.
    • High Rip Current Risk in effect from late Sunday night through Tuesday afternoon.
  • Cold Weather Advisory from 3 a.m. to 9 a.m. Monday for FLZ063, FLZ066, FLZ070.
  • Freeze Watch from late Monday night through Tuesday morning for FLZ063, FLZ066.
  • High Rip Current Risk from this evening through Tuesday morning for FLZ069.
  • High Rip Current Risk from late tonight through Tuesday evening for FLZ168, FLZ172, FLZ173.
  • Small Craft Advisory from 6 p.m. Sunday to 11 a.m. Monday for AMZ610.
  • Small Craft Advisory from 7 p.m. Sunday to 11 a.m. Monday for AMZ630.
  • Small Craft Advisory from 5 p.m. Sunday to 9 a.m. Tuesday for AMZ650, AMZ651, AMZ670, AMZ671.
  • Small Craft Advisory from 3 p.m. Sunday to 9 a.m. Tuesday for GMZ656, GMZ657, GMZ676.
  • Marine hazard product: Small Craft Advisory in effect from 5 p.m. Sunday to 9 a.m. Tuesday, with northwest winds 20 to 30 knots and seas 7 to 12 feet expected for the Atlantic coastal waters zones listed in the advisory.

7 Day Outlook

Sunday: High near 85, then turning sharply cooler overnight to around 46. Showers possible mid to late afternoon, with thunderstorms possible after 4 p.m. Winds shift and strengthen behind the front. Beach and marine hazards build late.

Monday: Sunny but much cooler. High near 61, low around 41 Monday night. Windy northwest flow continues with gusts near 29 mph. Fire weather concerns are highlighted for Monday, and rip current risk remains high.

Tuesday: Sunny with a high near 64 and a low around 51 Tuesday night. Northwest winds ease compared to Monday, with gusts still possible during the day. Rip current risk and hazardous seas remain an issue early week.

Wednesday: Warming trend starts. Sunny with a high near 72 and a low around 63. Winds become lighter and shift, turning more southeast during the afternoon.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, high near 78, low around 66. A 20% chance of showers after 1 a.m. Thursday night. Southeast winds remain in play.

Friday: A more unsettled day returns. 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, otherwise mostly sunny, high near 80. Friday night brings a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, low around 68.

Saturday: Still warm with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms and a high near 80. The late-week pattern keeps at least some rain chances in the picture.

Source: National Weather Service Miami forecast for “2 Miles ESE Boca Raton Airport FL,” updated 5:17 a.m. EST Feb. 22, 2026: https://www.weather.gov/mfl

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